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UtiliPoint
IssueAlert Emerging Technologies ~ December, 2004


Oracle Buys PeopleSoft … Finally
By Ethan L. Cohen, Director of Utility & Energy Technology, UtiliPoint International, Inc.

On Dec.13, 2004, Oracle announced that it is buying PeopleSoft. After a sometimes fractious 18-month courtship, this saga will probably go down in technology and M&A legend.

At a price of $26.50 per share, almost a 10 percent premium over the current PeopleSoft price per share, the $10.3 billion deal is historic in that it is clearly a better offer than five previous offers made by Oracle in the past year and a half. And it is significantly richer than the $16.00 per share/$5 billion takeover offer for the German-based PeopleSoft originally made by California-based Oracle.

UtiliPoint® observes that plainly, from an economic perspective, the deal has finally been consummated because the tender and acquisition announced today is much more in line with PeopleSoft's continuing assertion that its price per share valuation was really worth more than $30.00 per share. PeopleSoft also saw itself as one of the best growth engines in the technology market despite deteriorating finances, as the company had been outperforming the NASDAQ index for more than 18 months.

Because PeopleSoft shareholders are seeing significant benefit, the new offer became a deal very quickly; the boards of both companies have approved the offer and accepted the terms of the merger slated for completion in late January of 2005.

As the deal is clearly advantageous to shareholders of both organizations, analyst guidance on near term earnings for both companies is projected to rise.

Impact on the Energy Industry
The merger of two of the biggest names in software platforms and technology is significant news across the business universe. In many industries and industry segments, the coupling of these two industry players will have a considerable impact. The dynamics of technology acquisition by energy companies and utilities will be especially altered.

Foremost, UtiliPoint® anticipates that the corporate combination will reinvigorate a number of forestalled deals at North American utilities. While SPL WorldGroup and PeopleSoft had successful track records selling CIS solutions to the municipal utilities market, PeopleSoft's business development in this market segment has been waylaid by utility executive concerns about company commitment and stability. UtiliPoint anticipates that many of these concerns will not only be assuaged by the merger, but the value proposition of the combined entity may provide more capability and value.

Considered from a broader utility and energy technology market perspective, UtiliPoint® anticipates that the PeopleSoft Enterprise Revenue Management platform that includes CIS for Utilities will be an intriguing and potentially more powerful back-office solution, considering the integration and Web services technology capabilities offered by Oracle.

With the merger, the footprint of Oracle and PeopleSoft in the utilities and energy industry is likely to get even larger. Both organizations have estimable development capability and the industry's renewed focus on asset management, asset optimization, field management and workforce management plays well into the established strengths of the two organizations. What remains to be seen in honeymoon phase is how the two software giants combine their technological and organizational strength and merge what each brings to the utilities and energy technology marketplace as a combined value proposition.

Though the timeframe was longer than UtiliPoint® had anticipated, the combination of Oracle and PeopleSoft is proof in the pudding that there is too much capacity for too few technology deals in the energy and utility space and in business generally. UtiliPoint® has forecast that mergers and acquisitions in utility and energy technology that have taken root in 2004 will bear fruit in the coming several years. UtiliPoint® has already witnessed the combination of business process outsourcing and professional services with Alliance Data Systems' purchase of Capstone Consulting—a purchase that enables Alliance Data to expand its capabilities for utility clients beyond billing and customer care to professional services such as implementation, integration and hosting operations expertise.

UtiliPoint® has previously written about our anticipation of consolidation of smaller CIS, billing and back-office technology vendors and anticipates that this trend will accelerate and continue for the foreseeable future.

What is next beyond M&A? UtiliPoint® doesn't have a crystal ball, but our attention is focused among other things squarely on asset management, field service management, and again on customer relationship management. One question we will be asking very shortly is what does all this mean for market players SAP, Oracle and Siebel Systems; emerging business process outsourcers like Vertex-UK and Delinea; and companies with customer care solutions in the enterprise market such as SPL WorldGroup, AMX International and Harris. Stay tuned….


An archive list of previous IssueAlert articles is available at:
www.utilipoint.com

UtiliPoint's Emerging Technologies IssueAlert articles are compiled based on the independent analysis of UtiliPoint consultants, researchers, and analysts. The opinions expressed in UtiliPoint's Emerging Technologies IssueAlert articles are not intended to predict financial performance of companies discussed, or to be the basis for investment decisions of any kind. UtiliPoint's sole purpose in publishing its Emerging Technologies IssueAlert articles is to offer an independent perspective regarding the key events occurring in the energy industry, based on its long-standing reputation as an expert on energy issues.

©2004, UtiliPoint International, Inc. All rights reserved. This article is protected by United States copyright and other intellectual property laws and may not be reproduced, rewritten, distributed, redisseminated, transmitted, displayed, published or broadcast, directly or indirectly, in any medium without the prior written permission of UtiliPoint, Inc.

 

 


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